Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.179800 0.202624 0.226657 0.253792 0.283523 0.315050 0.350950
2025-05-04 0.149711 0.180572 0.214826 0.255474 0.302192 0.354000 0.415588
2025-05-11 0.129783 0.166051 0.208169 0.260282 0.322584 0.394222 0.482338
2025-05-18 0.115836 0.156246 0.205096 0.267774 0.345276 0.437149 0.553400
2025-05-25 0.100592 0.142775 0.195757 0.266097 0.355826 0.465191 0.607151
2025-06-01 0.088608 0.131921 0.188288 0.265496 0.366795 0.493355 0.661368
2025-06-08 0.078539 0.122381 0.181388 0.264596 0.376627 0.519782 0.713710
2025-06-15 0.072248 0.117300 0.179781 0.270181 0.394670 0.556865 0.780425
2025-06-22 0.065131 0.110227 0.174681 0.270334 0.404998 0.583789 0.834367
2025-06-29 0.058858 0.103722 0.169732 0.270102 0.414385 0.609358 0.886881
2025-07-06 0.053369 0.097831 0.165118 0.269829 0.423357 0.634292 0.938904
2025-07-13 0.049315 0.093793 0.162879 0.272701 0.436642 0.665274 0.999743
2025-07-20 0.046459 0.091591 0.163481 0.280113 0.457211 0.707696 1.078603
2025-07-27 0.042622 0.087337 0.160508 0.281803 0.469304 0.738421 1.141952
2025-08-03 0.039864 0.084675 0.159847 0.286936 0.486599 0.776977 1.217305
2025-08-10 0.037911 0.083250 0.161065 0.295003 0.508528 0.822769 1.304086
2025-08-17 0.034380 0.078531 0.156366 0.293165 0.514966 0.845856 1.358515
2025-08-24 0.031402 0.074536 0.152576 0.292501 0.523040 0.871406 1.416971
2025-08-31 0.028667 0.070715 0.148777 0.291519 0.530413 0.895925 1.474313
2025-09-07 0.027190 0.069284 0.149138 0.297559 0.549185 0.938123 1.558814
2025-09-14 0.025039 0.066207 0.146234 0.297721 0.558264 0.965557 1.621634
2025-09-21 0.023029 0.063202 0.143223 0.297469 0.566529 0.991808 1.683105
2025-09-28 0.021191 0.060367 0.140309 0.297173 0.574601 1.017830 1.744663